Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #449 / 1,000

P0078

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 28,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 566

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 434

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 276Deviation -R 1 157

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 434. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 853

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 177 to R 3 003
Finished ahead: 272 / 1,000 (27,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #402 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,36% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.777
Mean bets / session: 4.105
Loss multiplier: 1.0217×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,1% / 58,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 45043 wagers · RTP 58,34%

European RouletteR 1 26537 wagers · RTP 100,32%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 05531 wagers · RTP 64,88%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 79223 wagers · RTP 26,01%

BaccaratR 60818 wagers · RTP 120,72%

BlackjackR 58417 wagers · RTP 113,87%

CrashR 37311 wagers · RTP 158,18%

American RouletteR 2367 wagers · RTP 29,66%

Craps / DiceR 1715 wagers · RTP 80,70%

Lottery / JackpotR 1665 wagers · RTP 38,55%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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