Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #751 / 1,000

P0080

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 0,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 715

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 285

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 778Deviation -R 4 508

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 285. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 595

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 797 to R 3 928
Finished ahead: 188 / 1,000 (18,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #605 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,52% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.058
Mean bets / session: 5.993
Loss multiplier: 1.0151×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 40,8% / 36,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 2 63574 wagers · RTP 41,06%

Lottery / JackpotR 2 32261 wagers · RTP 14,30%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 80850 wagers · RTP 75,91%

Virtual Sports BettingR 98727 wagers · RTP 112,95%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 90724 wagers · RTP 20,84%

BlackjackR 77120 wagers · RTP 63,16%

American RouletteR 68520 wagers · RTP 70,80%

BaccaratR 63016 wagers · RTP 90,05%

Craps / DiceR 43413 wagers · RTP 97,24%

CrashR 2166 wagers · RTP 26,85%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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