Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #444 / 1,000

P0087

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 25,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 666

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 334

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 285Deviation -R 1 049

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 334. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 728

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 042 to R 2 570
Finished ahead: 290 / 1,000 (29,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #391 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,25% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.769
Mean bets / session: 5.953
Loss multiplier: 1.0131×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,8% / 52,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 1 58773 wagers · RTP 121,58%

European RouletteR 1 37163 wagers · RTP 44,13%

Craps / DiceR 92143 wagers · RTP 68,30%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 55125 wagers · RTP 41,92%

American RouletteR 42720 wagers · RTP 111,71%

BlackjackR 34416 wagers · RTP 72,67%

CrashR 26412 wagers · RTP 73,39%

Lottery / JackpotR 24111 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 23811 wagers · RTP 97,74%

BaccaratR 21210 wagers · RTP 129,25%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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