Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #464 / 1,000

P0097

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 9,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 436

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 564

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 233Deviation -R 1 331

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 564. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 634

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 728 to R 1 961
Finished ahead: 276 / 1,000 (27,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #376 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,29% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.177
Mean bets / session: 3.394
Loss multiplier: 1.0334×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 51,4% / 42,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 1 33449 wagers · RTP 51,50%

European RouletteR 87731 wagers · RTP 73,89%

Craps / DiceR 68425 wagers · RTP 128,07%

Virtual Sports BettingR 55720 wagers · RTP 82,18%

American RouletteR 41615 wagers · RTP 13,46%

CrashR 41115 wagers · RTP 60,83%

Lottery / JackpotR 30911 wagers · RTP 16,83%

BaccaratR 27210 wagers · RTP 118,07%

BlackjackR 2288 wagers · RTP 127,19%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1997 wagers · RTP 42,71%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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