Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #296 / 1,000

P0101

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 0,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 700

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 300

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 38Deviation -R 262

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 300. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 100

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 230 to R 183
Finished ahead: 195 / 1,000 (19,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #263 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,20% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.539
Mean bets / session: 1.17
Loss multiplier: 1.0072×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,5% / 46,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 1608 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 603 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 402 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 201 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 201 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 201 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 201 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies