Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #372 / 1,000

P0103

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 1,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 371

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 629

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 75Deviation -R 554

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 629. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 202

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 527 to R 422
Finished ahead: 221 / 1,000 (22,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #287 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,38% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.399
Mean bets / session: 2.005
Loss multiplier: 1.0007×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,4% / 44,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 2216 wagers · RTP 66,06%

Lottery / JackpotR 2136 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1785 wagers · RTP 40,45%

Three-Reel SlotR 742 wagers · RTP 75,68%

American RouletteR 742 wagers · RTP 100,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 732 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 692 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 381 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 371 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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