Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #231 / 1,000

P0107

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 77,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 981

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 19

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 45Deviation R 25

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 19. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 212

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 511 to R 302
Finished ahead: 212 / 1,000 (21,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #289 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.428
Mean bets / session: 1.183
Loss multiplier: 1.0233×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,8% / 32,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1874 wagers · RTP 99,47%

Craps / DiceR 1413 wagers · RTP 170,21%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 952 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 912 wagers · RTP 128,10%

Lottery / JackpotR 481 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies