Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #383 / 1,000

P0108

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 24,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 268

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 732

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 99Deviation -R 633

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 732. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 468

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 092 to R 975
Finished ahead: 174 / 1,000 (17,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #348 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,56% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.537
Mean bets / session: 2.463
Loss multiplier: 1.0153×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,5% / 49,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 2775 wagers · RTP 40,43%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2545 wagers · RTP 22,35%

European RouletteR 2214 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 2014 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1563 wagers · RTP 129,49%

BaccaratR 1092 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 561 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 471 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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