Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #325 / 1,000

P0109

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 42,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 584

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 416

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 102Deviation -R 314

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 416. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 348

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 849 to R 822
Finished ahead: 215 / 1,000 (21,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #323 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,37% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.586
Mean bets / session: 2.825
Loss multiplier: 1.0128×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,3% / 52,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 38211 wagers · RTP 141,91%

Lottery / JackpotR 35310 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 33010 wagers · RTP 47,20%

BlackjackR 1966 wagers · RTP 150,26%

Three-Reel SlotR 1434 wagers · RTP 25,87%

European RouletteR 371 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 371 wagers · RTP 175,78%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 361 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 361 wagers · RTP 200,00%

American RouletteR 321 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies