Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #343 / 1,000

P0110

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 47,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 493

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 508

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 137Deviation -R 370

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 508. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 480

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 017 to R 836
Finished ahead: 154 / 1,000 (15,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #350 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,47% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.536
Mean bets / session: 2.291
Loss multiplier: 1.0054×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,9% / 53,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 54612 wagers · RTP 17,22%

BaccaratR 43910 wagers · RTP 111,85%

BlackjackR 2225 wagers · RTP 159,46%

CrashR 1654 wagers · RTP 31,82%

Virtual Sports BettingR 802 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 471 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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