Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #395 / 1,000

P0117

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 14,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 200

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 800

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 86Deviation -R 714

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 800. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 409

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 982 to R 854
Finished ahead: 168 / 1,000 (16,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #335 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,56% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.391
Mean bets / session: 2.861
Loss multiplier: 1.0022×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,6% / 33,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2745 wagers · RTP 19,34%

Lottery / JackpotR 2675 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2465 wagers · RTP 82,11%

Three-Reel SlotR 1623 wagers · RTP 17,28%

Craps / DiceR 1082 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 531 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 511 wagers · RTP 153,47%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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