Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #186 / 1,000

P0119

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 88,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 255

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 255

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 62Deviation R 317

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 255. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 302

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 820 to R 760
Finished ahead: 225 / 1,000 (22,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #313 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.436
Mean bets / session: 2.235
Loss multiplier: 1.0104×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,0% / 33,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 57811 wagers · RTP 176,82%

BaccaratR 2565 wagers · RTP 99,61%

Craps / DiceR 1593 wagers · RTP 64,15%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1553 wagers · RTP 52,10%

Lottery / JackpotR 1052 wagers · RTP 97,14%

BlackjackR 1032 wagers · RTP 200,00%

American RouletteR 531 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 521 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 521 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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