Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #215 / 1,000

P0124

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 86,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 062

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 62

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 13Deviation R 74

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 62. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 71

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 230 to R 200
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #259 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,28% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.317
Mean bets / session: 1.23
Loss multiplier: 1.0241×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,9% / 37,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 562 wagers · RTP 162,50%

BaccaratR 281 wagers · RTP 195,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 281 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 281 wagers · RTP 300,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 281 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 281 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 281 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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