Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #268 / 1,000

P0126

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 47,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 829

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 172

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 32Deviation -R 140

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 172. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 151

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 428 to R 325
Finished ahead: 235 / 1,000 (23,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #280 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,38% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.283
Mean bets / session: 1.374
Loss multiplier: 1.0181×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,3% / 38,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1133 wagers · RTP 163,72%

BaccaratR 752 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 752 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 732 wagers · RTP 23,97%

Lottery / JackpotR 381 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies