Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #240 / 1,000

P0127

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 60,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 930

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 70

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 18Deviation -R 52

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 70. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 97

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 258 to R 212
Finished ahead: 207 / 1,000 (20,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #264 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,20% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.461
Mean bets / session: 1.644
Loss multiplier: 1.0054×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,5% / 49,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 985 wagers · RTP 115,41%

Craps / DiceR 764 wagers · RTP 94,74%

Lottery / JackpotR 563 wagers · RTP 71,43%

CrashR 382 wagers · RTP 65,79%

BlackjackR 382 wagers · RTP 105,26%

European RouletteR 201 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 181 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 181 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 161 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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