Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #227 / 1,000

P0129

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 76,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 001

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 1

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 35Deviation R 36

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 1. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 152

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 371 to R 264
Finished ahead: 237 / 1,000 (23,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #275 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,42% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.368
Mean bets / session: 1.14
Loss multiplier: 1.0039×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 35,5% / 40,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1263 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1243 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 832 wagers · RTP 148,19%

European RouletteR 421 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 421 wagers · RTP 500,00%

CrashR 411 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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