Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #158 / 1,000

P0132

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 93,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 590

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 590

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 77Deviation R 666

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 590. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 264

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 680 to R 878
Finished ahead: 208 / 1,000 (20,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #306 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,41% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.477
Mean bets / session: 2.079
Loss multiplier: 1.004×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 35,6% / 57,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 48911 wagers · RTP 87,80%

American RouletteR 2255 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1784 wagers · RTP 50,56%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1764 wagers · RTP 109,51%

European RouletteR 1333 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 862 wagers · RTP 1 504,07%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 862 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 451 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 451 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 431 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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