Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #256 / 1,000

P0141

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 69,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 868

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 132

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 59Deviation -R 73

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 132. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 272

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 624 to R 554
Finished ahead: 198 / 1,000 (19,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #306 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,33% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.487
Mean bets / session: 2.407
Loss multiplier: 1.0298×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 33,0% / 50,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 2317 wagers · RTP 28,57%

Lottery / JackpotR 1966 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1334 wagers · RTP 162,78%

BaccaratR 1304 wagers · RTP 102,00%

CrashR 642 wagers · RTP 575,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 622 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 341 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 341 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 311 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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