Synthetic research simulation · no deposits · no prizes · no cash value · read-only
Virtual Casino ExperimentData ↓

Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #229 / 1,000

P0142

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 78,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 993

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 11Deviation R 3

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

P0142 cumulative P&L by calendar monthMonth-six visible P&L -R 7. Bankroll allocations used: 1.
Month-six visible P&L -R 7. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 176

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile
-R 482 to R 542
Finished ahead
214 / 1,000 (21,4%)
At least one ruin
0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank
#284 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake
0,32% of bankroll
Sessions / week
0.3
Mean bets / session
2.52
Loss multiplier
1.0167×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win
32,7% / 44,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 983 wagers · RTP 134,69%
Virtual Sports BettingR 602 wagers · RTP 121,35%
CrashR 602 wagers · RTP 66,67%
European RouletteR 321 wagers · RTP 0,00%
Craps / DiceR 321 wagers · RTP 0,00%
BlackjackR 301 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies