Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #342 / 1,000

P0146

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 13,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 497

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 504

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 68Deviation -R 436

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 504. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 256

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 631 to R 543
Finished ahead: 221 / 1,000 (22,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #301 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.35
Mean bets / session: 1.424
Loss multiplier: 1.0238×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,5% / 59,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 2675 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1092 wagers · RTP 74,77%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1072 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1072 wagers · RTP 99,07%

Craps / DiceR 541 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 471 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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