Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #297 / 1,000

P0150

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 28,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 695

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 305

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 57Deviation -R 248

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 305. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 182

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 527 to R 396
Finished ahead: 187 / 1,000 (18,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #286 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,59% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.258
Mean bets / session: 1.458
Loss multiplier: 1.0229×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,7% / 49,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 3546 wagers · RTP 96,95%

Lottery / JackpotR 2354 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 591 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 591 wagers · RTP 100,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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