Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #208 / 1,000

P0151

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 87,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 104

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 104

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 32Deviation R 136

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 104. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 103

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 281 to R 314
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #264 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,21% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.283
Mean bets / session: 2.541
Loss multiplier: 1.0076×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 34,2% / 51,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 22511 wagers · RTP 123,07%

Lottery / JackpotR 1246 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 623 wagers · RTP 64,52%

European RouletteR 412 wagers · RTP 460,98%

Craps / DiceR 392 wagers · RTP 200,00%

BlackjackR 211 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 191 wagers · RTP 50,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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