Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #269 / 1,000

P0153

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 39,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 826

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 174

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 28Deviation -R 146

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 174. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 139

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 363 to R 374
Finished ahead: 213 / 1,000 (21,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #274 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.357
Mean bets / session: 1.905
Loss multiplier: 1.0004×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,2% / 39,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1184 wagers · RTP 73,73%

Lottery / JackpotR 1164 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 291 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 291 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 271 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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