Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #270 / 1,000

P0155

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 72,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 825

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 175

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 132Deviation -R 43

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 175. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 565

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 255 to R 1 132
Finished ahead: 230 / 1,000 (23,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #364 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,56% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.474
Mean bets / session: 2.545
Loss multiplier: 1.0273×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,4% / 34,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 4788 wagers · RTP 43,51%

BaccaratR 2244 wagers · RTP 225,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2154 wagers · RTP 46,51%

CrashR 1783 wagers · RTP 41,43%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1172 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1162 wagers · RTP 173,71%

American RouletteR 601 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 591 wagers · RTP 500,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 571 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 531 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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