Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #392 / 1,000

P0160

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 27,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 210

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 790

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 133Deviation -R 657

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 790. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 551

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 179 to R 1 020
Finished ahead: 155 / 1,000 (15,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #361 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,56% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.568
Mean bets / session: 2.167
Loss multiplier: 1.0219×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 34,9% / 50,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 54510 wagers · RTP 20,92%

BaccaratR 5009 wagers · RTP 101,60%

Craps / DiceR 1583 wagers · RTP 136,71%

American RouletteR 1092 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1082 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1032 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 551 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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