Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #282 / 1,000

P0161

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 54,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 750

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 250

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 121Deviation -R 130

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 250. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 295

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 724 to R 847
Finished ahead: 232 / 1,000 (23,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #310 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,52% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.501
Mean bets / session: 1.542
Loss multiplier: 1.0093×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,3% / 42,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 50410 wagers · RTP 39,29%

BlackjackR 1513 wagers · RTP 132,45%

BaccaratR 1022 wagers · RTP 100,00%

American RouletteR 1022 wagers · RTP 300,00%

European RouletteR 1012 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 511 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 451 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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