Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #278 / 1,000

P0162

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 65,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 787

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 213

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 77Deviation -R 136

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 213. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 397

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 905 to R 827
Finished ahead: 214 / 1,000 (21,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #334 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.515
Mean bets / session: 2.592
Loss multiplier: 1.0145×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,8% / 38,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 65714 wagers · RTP 84,89%

American RouletteR 45710 wagers · RTP 117,07%

BlackjackR 1924 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1413 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1403 wagers · RTP 209,82%

Craps / DiceR 932 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 922 wagers · RTP 23,91%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 902 wagers · RTP 54,44%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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