Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #380 / 1,000

P0168

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 2,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 297

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 703

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 114Deviation -R 589

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 703. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 298

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 646 to R 544
Finished ahead: 165 / 1,000 (16,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #311 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.583
Mean bets / session: 1.491
Loss multiplier: 1.0266×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,9% / 41,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 4249 wagers · RTP 22,64%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1423 wagers · RTP 200,00%

BaccaratR 1423 wagers · RTP 65,92%

American RouletteR 1413 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1393 wagers · RTP 105,22%

Craps / DiceR 972 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 972 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 962 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 451 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies