Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #233 / 1,000

P0171

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 63,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 969

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 31

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 16Deviation -R 15

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 31. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 61

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 182 to R 203
Finished ahead: 252 / 1,000 (25,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #256 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.276
Mean bets / session: 1.018
Loss multiplier: 1.0233×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,3% / 57,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 602 wagers · RTP 65,90%

Three-Reel SlotR 572 wagers · RTP 24,56%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 562 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 301 wagers · RTP 195,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 301 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 301 wagers · RTP 200,00%

BlackjackR 281 wagers · RTP 100,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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