Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #173 / 1,000

P0173

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 93,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 369

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 369

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 92Deviation R 461

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 369. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 318

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 793 to R 557
Finished ahead: 191 / 1,000 (19,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #319 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,49% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.438
Mean bets / session: 2.179
Loss multiplier: 1.0017×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 44,3% / 37,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 2425 wagers · RTP 40,08%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1994 wagers · RTP 211,85%

BlackjackR 1944 wagers · RTP 101,03%

Lottery / JackpotR 1924 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1473 wagers · RTP 164,63%

CrashR 1463 wagers · RTP 363,87%

American RouletteR 1443 wagers · RTP 102,08%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 972 wagers · RTP 48,45%

Craps / DiceR 481 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies