Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #291 / 1,000

P0178

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 48,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 715

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 285

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 77Deviation -R 209

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 285. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 278

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 687 to R 550
Finished ahead: 179 / 1,000 (17,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #307 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.332
Mean bets / session: 2.864
Loss multiplier: 1.0122×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 40,8% / 37,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 2917 wagers · RTP 30,24%

BaccaratR 1293 wagers · RTP 165,54%

CrashR 1283 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 882 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 882 wagers · RTP 100,00%

American RouletteR 832 wagers · RTP 159,04%

European RouletteR 441 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 441 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies