Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #347 / 1,000

P0181

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 17,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 465

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 535

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 76Deviation -R 459

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 535. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 274

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 704 to R 982
Finished ahead: 253 / 1,000 (25,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #307 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.603
Mean bets / session: 1.623
Loss multiplier: 1.0251×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,1% / 41,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 3097 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2215 wagers · RTP 76,76%

Craps / DiceR 1774 wagers · RTP 151,41%

European RouletteR 892 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 882 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 451 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 441 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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