Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #286 / 1,000

P0184

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 54,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 733

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 267

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 50Deviation -R 217

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 267. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 328

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 994 to R 832
Finished ahead: 257 / 1,000 (25,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #321 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,58% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.264
Mean bets / session: 2.754
Loss multiplier: 1.0135×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 37,7% / 57,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 1743 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 581 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 581 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 571 wagers · RTP 235,74%

BaccaratR 541 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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