Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #279 / 1,000

P0189

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 43,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 787

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 213

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 19Deviation -R 194

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 213. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 173

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 510 to R 500
Finished ahead: 242 / 1,000 (24,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #283 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.267
Mean bets / session: 1.631
Loss multiplier: 1.0271×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,4% / 46,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 2114 wagers · RTP 101,42%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1613 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1002 wagers · RTP 50,00%

European RouletteR 551 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 501 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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