Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #239 / 1,000

P0190

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 78,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 938

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 62

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 74Deviation R 12

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 62. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 245

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 561 to R 315
Finished ahead: 162 / 1,000 (16,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #297 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.615
Mean bets / session: 1.042
Loss multiplier: 1.0277×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 30,2% / 59,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 2586 wagers · RTP 34,11%

BlackjackR 1664 wagers · RTP 150,60%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1243 wagers · RTP 32,26%

Craps / DiceR 852 wagers · RTP 96,47%

BaccaratR 451 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 411 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 391 wagers · RTP 164,08%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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