Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #230 / 1,000

P0191

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 72,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 989

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 11

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 20Deviation R 9

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 11. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 76

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 226 to R 293
Finished ahead: 246 / 1,000 (24,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #260 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,25% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.39
Mean bets / session: 1.171
Loss multiplier: 1.0252×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,7% / 33,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Lottery / JackpotR 763 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 723 wagers · RTP 200,00%

BlackjackR 261 wagers · RTP 250,00%

Craps / DiceR 251 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 231 wagers · RTP 200,00%

European RouletteR 231 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 211 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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