Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #345 / 1,000

P0196

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 1,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 483

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 517

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 17Deviation -R 500

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 517. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 155

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 424 to R 297
Finished ahead: 192 / 1,000 (19,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #278 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,52% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.336
Mean bets / session: 1.15
Loss multiplier: 1.0214×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,4% / 53,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1553 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 1042 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1032 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 531 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 511 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 511 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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