Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #163 / 1,000

P0197

Small bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 95,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 502

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 502

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 46Deviation R 547

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 502. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 191

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 571 to R 491
Finished ahead: 213 / 1,000 (21,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #288 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,59% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.339
Mean bets / session: 1.33
Loss multiplier: 1.0071×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,1% / 59,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 2404 wagers · RTP 101,67%

Lottery / JackpotR 1783 wagers · RTP 395,51%

BaccaratR 1192 wagers · RTP 99,16%

BlackjackR 1182 wagers · RTP 125,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 571 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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