Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #679 / 1,000

P0207

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 64,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 861

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 139

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 575Deviation -R 2 563

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 139. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 660

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 569 to R 20 043
Finished ahead: 203 / 1,000 (20,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #780 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,64% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.936
Mean bets / session: 5.373
Loss multiplier: 1.0527×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,5% / 73,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 16 07776 wagers · RTP 97,19%

BlackjackR 12 06460 wagers · RTP 101,49%

CrashR 4 72222 wagers · RTP 200,39%

BaccaratR 4 41625 wagers · RTP 85,15%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 85020 wagers · RTP 70,22%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 80020 wagers · RTP 38,55%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 40418 wagers · RTP 63,67%

European RouletteR 3 18315 wagers · RTP 10,24%

American RouletteR 1 2886 wagers · RTP 148,37%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 00010 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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