Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #207 / 1,000

P0210

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 86,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 108

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 108

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 568Deviation R 1 677

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 108. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 252

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 625 to R 4 821
Finished ahead: 135 / 1,000 (13,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #717 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,32% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.561
Mean bets / session: 5.164
Loss multiplier: 1.0764×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 44,2% / 70,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 5 57341 wagers · RTP 114,46%

BlackjackR 5 20036 wagers · RTP 125,92%

Lottery / JackpotR 2 80028 wagers · RTP 7,14%

American RouletteR 2 62117 wagers · RTP 120,34%

BaccaratR 2 41417 wagers · RTP 103,36%

CrashR 2 31915 wagers · RTP 108,86%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 77512 wagers · RTP 216,92%

European RouletteR 1 3279 wagers · RTP 63,75%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0588 wagers · RTP 6,47%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8705 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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