Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #169 / 1,000

P0215

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 83,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 435

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 435

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 286Deviation R 2 722

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 435. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 016

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 778 to R 10 048
Finished ahead: 184 / 1,000 (18,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #751 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,14% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.727
Mean bets / session: 4.674
Loss multiplier: 1.0086×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 58,7% / 58,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 10 33041 wagers · RTP 99,33%

Craps / DiceR 8 19431 wagers · RTP 106,69%

Three-Reel SlotR 6 62428 wagers · RTP 101,00%

CrashR 4 00716 wagers · RTP 81,25%

American RouletteR 3 88715 wagers · RTP 129,20%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 38114 wagers · RTP 95,45%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 04312 wagers · RTP 166,14%

BaccaratR 2 3549 wagers · RTP 126,08%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 90019 wagers · RTP 10,53%

European RouletteR 1 2665 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies