Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #593 / 1,000

P0217

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 49,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 276

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 724

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 829Deviation -R 1 895

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 724. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 679

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 620 to R 8 859
Finished ahead: 220 / 1,000 (22,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #616 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,52% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.42
Mean bets / session: 5.108
Loss multiplier: 1.0148×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,9% / 69,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 6 84955 wagers · RTP 101,53%

BlackjackR 5 31043 wagers · RTP 70,02%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 53620 wagers · RTP 98,37%

CrashR 2 18418 wagers · RTP 115,64%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 03616 wagers · RTP 76,42%

European RouletteR 1 33511 wagers · RTP 69,89%

BaccaratR 1 33310 wagers · RTP 88,25%

American RouletteR 9237 wagers · RTP 112,57%

Lottery / JackpotR 9009 wagers · RTP 22,22%

Three-Reel SlotR 6085 wagers · RTP 113,98%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies