Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #793 / 1,000

P0220

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 13,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 853

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 147

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 468Deviation -R 4 679

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 147. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 356

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 659 to R 4 556
Finished ahead: 140 / 1,000 (14,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #720 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,65% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.876
Mean bets / session: 3.668
Loss multiplier: 1.0043×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,6% / 72,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 4 02639 wagers · RTP 84,46%

Lottery / JackpotR 3 22937 wagers · RTP 21,55%

Craps / DiceR 3 14931 wagers · RTP 106,19%

CrashR 2 08621 wagers · RTP 43,68%

BaccaratR 1 91016 wagers · RTP 68,74%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 70716 wagers · RTP 70,59%

American RouletteR 1 18912 wagers · RTP 112,78%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9139 wagers · RTP 33,95%

European RouletteR 6007 wagers · RTP 70,50%

Three-Reel SlotR 2823 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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