Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #720 / 1,000

P0222

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 7,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 282

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 718

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 605Deviation -R 4 113

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 718. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 393

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 905 to R 7 530
Finished ahead: 208 / 1,000 (20,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #584 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,26% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.73
Mean bets / session: 3.433
Loss multiplier: 1.0266×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 56,1% / 63,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 3 70737 wagers · RTP 77,91%

BlackjackR 2 81429 wagers · RTP 103,25%

American RouletteR 2 72727 wagers · RTP 28,64%

European RouletteR 1 42015 wagers · RTP 108,94%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 30413 wagers · RTP 84,84%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 09711 wagers · RTP 38,29%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8719 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 6276 wagers · RTP 108,25%

Lottery / JackpotR 6167 wagers · RTP 32,47%

BaccaratR 2473 wagers · RTP 75,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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