Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #821 / 1,000

P0225

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 12,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 201

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 799

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 714Deviation -R 5 085

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 799. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 361

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 290 to R 10 685
Finished ahead: 186 / 1,000 (18,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #723 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,82% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.663
Mean bets / session: 5.397
Loss multiplier: 1.0167×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,6% / 53,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 7 68548 wagers · RTP 76,66%

Craps / DiceR 7 28449 wagers · RTP 62,92%

Three-Reel SlotR 5 03933 wagers · RTP 169,87%

American RouletteR 4 01728 wagers · RTP 50,21%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 44622 wagers · RTP 25,77%

CrashR 2 04615 wagers · RTP 122,90%

European RouletteR 1 77711 wagers · RTP 50,98%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 71811 wagers · RTP 59,79%

Lottery / JackpotR 89010 wagers · RTP 17,30%

BaccaratR 8705 wagers · RTP 164,60%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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