Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #693 / 1,000

P0226

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 48,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 683

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 317

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 812Deviation -R 3 505

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 317. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 251

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 801 to R 15 509
Finished ahead: 186 / 1,000 (18,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #714 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,82% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.359
Mean bets / session: 4.648
Loss multiplier: 1.0028×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,7% / 65,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 6 61748 wagers · RTP 86,72%

Craps / DiceR 5 81443 wagers · RTP 102,17%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 85037 wagers · RTP 32,41%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 96415 wagers · RTP 198,60%

CrashR 1 93914 wagers · RTP 45,54%

European RouletteR 1 86414 wagers · RTP 30,36%

BaccaratR 1 47711 wagers · RTP 130,84%

American RouletteR 6525 wagers · RTP 109,36%

Lottery / JackpotR 5956 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2912 wagers · RTP 172,16%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies