Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #698 / 1,000

P0232

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 10,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 631

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 369

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 593Deviation -R 3 776

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 369. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 287

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 884 to R 7 421
Finished ahead: 235 / 1,000 (23,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #577 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,39% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.277
Mean bets / session: 4.044
Loss multiplier: 1.0687×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 35,3% / 46,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 3 58630 wagers · RTP 117,54%

Craps / DiceR 2 77324 wagers · RTP 92,61%

American RouletteR 2 45422 wagers · RTP 21,03%

CrashR 1 12810 wagers · RTP 44,61%

Lottery / JackpotR 99210 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 7166 wagers · RTP 53,63%

BaccaratR 6065 wagers · RTP 75,30%

Three-Reel SlotR 6036 wagers · RTP 16,42%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5965 wagers · RTP 113,66%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4694 wagers · RTP 28,78%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies