Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #738 / 1,000

P0233

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 37,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 958

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 042

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 972Deviation -R 4 069

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 042. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 101

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 262 to R 16 339
Finished ahead: 230 / 1,000 (23,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #706 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.571
Mean bets / session: 4.917
Loss multiplier: 1.0233×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 35,6% / 54,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 8 84262 wagers · RTP 88,67%

Craps / DiceR 6 66848 wagers · RTP 102,64%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 84512 wagers · RTP 74,96%

American RouletteR 1 73713 wagers · RTP 34,02%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 68112 wagers · RTP 7,79%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 66913 wagers · RTP 57,78%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 30013 wagers · RTP 107,69%

CrashR 1 1659 wagers · RTP 146,03%

BaccaratR 1 1058 wagers · RTP 84,00%

European RouletteR 8136 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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