Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #655 / 1,000

P0236

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 68,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 223

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 777

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 230Deviation -R 2 547

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 777. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 767

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 283 to R 21 664
Finished ahead: 180 / 1,000 (18,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #786 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,93% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.9
Mean bets / session: 3.31
Loss multiplier: 1.0483×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 37,8% / 58,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 6 02836 wagers · RTP 111,24%

Craps / DiceR 5 98733 wagers · RTP 63,91%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5 37132 wagers · RTP 52,39%

CrashR 2 04911 wagers · RTP 63,81%

BaccaratR 1 91512 wagers · RTP 82,72%

American RouletteR 1 82312 wagers · RTP 118,49%

European RouletteR 1 4029 wagers · RTP 211,41%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0557 wagers · RTP 93,82%

Three-Reel SlotR 9997 wagers · RTP 70,17%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 50,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies