Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #646 / 1,000

P0237

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 41,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 505

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 495

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 977Deviation -R 2 518

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 495. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 874

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 851 to R 6 073
Finished ahead: 216 / 1,000 (21,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #627 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,89% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.578
Mean bets / session: 4.167
Loss multiplier: 1.0267×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,6% / 48,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 9 21255 wagers · RTP 90,08%

BlackjackR 7 39744 wagers · RTP 86,26%

American RouletteR 2 98217 wagers · RTP 37,63%

European RouletteR 2 47615 wagers · RTP 78,88%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 4259 wagers · RTP 38,88%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 4169 wagers · RTP 63,70%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 20012 wagers · RTP 16,67%

CrashR 1 1777 wagers · RTP 338,79%

BaccaratR 8815 wagers · RTP 93,06%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7225 wagers · RTP 162,77%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies